model now says 60,400 deaths from covid FLU

[ruppsrunt]

Remember those 2,000,000 deaths, then 220,000 deaths, then 93,000 deaths--

Well--with FACTS showing model to be garbage in is garbage out---today the new estimate is just like a big flu season--

60,400 deaths, and "modeling" down every day!!

from deep stater fauci;
“Models are as good as the assumptions you put into them, and as we get more data, then you put it in and that might change,” he said. That point was soon reinforced, with the IHME estimate shifting upward soon after the White House briefing.

Late Tuesday night, however, the IHME estimate shifted in the other direction. While the model last week projected nearly 94,000 deaths by late summer, its new estimate puts the toll by August at 60,400 — a decline of 26 percent from the model’s previous estimate.

www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/04/08/leading-model-now-estimates-tens-thousands-fewer-covid-19-deaths-by-summer/

rr

[houstoncat]

Apr 8, 2020 12:14:45 GMT -5 ruppsrunt said:

Remember those 2,000,000 deaths, then 220,000 deaths, then 93,000 deaths--

Well--with FACTS showing model to be garbage in is garbage out---today the new estimate is just like a big flu season--

60,400 deaths, and "modeling" down every day!!

from deep stater fauci;
“Models are as good as the assumptions you put into them, and as we get more data, then you put it in and that might change,” he said. That point was soon reinforced, with the IHME estimate shifting upward soon after the White House briefing.

Late Tuesday night, however, the IHME estimate shifted in the other direction. While the model last week projected nearly 94,000 deaths by late summer, its new estimate puts the toll by August at 60,400 — a decline of 26 percent from the model’s previous estimate.

www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/04/08/leading-model-now-estimates-tens-thousands-fewer-covid-19-deaths-by-summer/

rr

Reminds me a bit of the Hurricane tracking models, they ain't ever really sure where landfall might be unless its 75 miles are less from shore and even that can change.

IMO and no one asked, the models especially in cases like this virus are better left to internal discussions for worst case planning purposes until sufficient data is received, but wait those folks can't help but leak like someone with a bladder condition.

We do a prediction model like that in engineering and we'd have short careers. I truly respect Birks and Faucci but they are slaves to data not out of the box thinkers again IMO

[Katman]

Corruption is fighting to stay in place, they will fail.